SOLAR THERMAL TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT: ESTIMATED MARKET SIZE AND ENERGY COST SAVINGS, EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

by JET PROPULSION LABORATORY (CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY),

Technical Report, 1983

Barcode

CSP Unique ID 190682748

Status

Electronic Resource

Call number

**Click on MARC view for more information on this report.**

Publication

DOE ET 1060 60 Volume I; Report; February 1983.

Language

Library's review

ABSTRACT:
Estimated future energy cost savings associated with the development of cost-competitive solar thermal technologies (STT) are discussed. Analysis is restricted to STT in electric applications for 16 high-insolation/ high-energy-price states. Three fuel price scenarios and three 1990 STT
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system costs are considered, reflecting uncertainty over future fuel prices and STT cost projections.

STT R&D is found to be unacceptably risky for private industry in the absence of federal support. Energy cost savings were projected to range from $0 to $10 billion (1990 values in 1981 dollars), depending on the system cost and fuel price scenario. Normal R&D investment risks are accentuated because the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) cartel can artificially manipulate oil prices and undercut growth of alternative energy sources. Federal participation in STT R&D to help capture the potential benefits of developing cost-competitive STT was found to be in the national interest.

Analysis is also provided regarding two federal incentives currently in use: the Federal Business Energy Tax Credit and direct R&D funding. These mechanisms can be expected to provide the required incentives to establish a viable self-sustaining private STT industry. Discussions of STT impacts on the environment and oil imports are also included.
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